From	Michael E. Mann	Date	Mon, 12 Oct 2009 09:00:44 -0400
To	Stephen H Schneider
CC	Myles Allen, Stott, Peter, Phil Jones, Ben Santer, Tom Wigley, Thomas R Karl, Gavin Schmidt, James Hansen, Kevin Trenberth, Michael Oppenheimer
Subject	Re: BBC U-turn on climate
extremely disappointing to see something like this appear on BBC. its particularly odd, since climate is usually Richard Black's beat at BBC (and he does a great job). from what I can tell, this guy was formerly a weather person at the Met Office. We may do something about this on RealClimate, but meanwhile it might be appropriate for the Met Office to have a say about this, I might ask Richard Black what's up here? mike On Oct 12, 2009, at 2:32 AM, Stephen H Schneider wrote: Hi all. Any of you want to explain decadal natural variability and signal to noise and sampling errors to this new "IPCC Lead Author" from the BBC? As we enter an El Nino year and as soon, as the sunspots get over their temporary--presumed--vacation worth a few tenths of a Watt per meter squared reduced forcing, there will likely be another dramatic upward spike like 1992-2000. I heard someone--Mike Schlesinger maybe??--was willing to bet alot of money on it happening in next 5 years?? Meanwhile the past 10 years of global mean temperature trend stasis still saw what, 9 of the warmest in reconstructed 1000 year record and Greenland and the sea ice of the North in big retreat?? Some of you observational folks probably do need to straighten this out as my student suggests below. Such "fun", Cheers, Steve Stephen H. Schneider Melvin and Joan Lane Professor for Interdisciplinary Environmental Studies, Professor, Department of Biology and Senior Fellow, Woods Institute for the Environment Mailing address: Yang & Yamazaki Environment & Energy Building - MC 4205 473 Via Ortega Ph: 650 725 9978 F: 650 725 4387 Websites: climatechange.net patientfromhell.org ----- Forwarded Message ----- From: "Narasimha D. Rao" <[1]ndrao@stanford.edu> To: "Stephen H Schneider" <[2]shs@stanford.edu> Sent: Sunday, October 11, 2009 10:25:53 AM GMT -08:00 US/Canada Pacific Subject: BBC U-turn on climate Steve, You may be aware of this already. Paul Hudson, BBCs reporter on climate change, on Friday wrote that theres been no warming since 1998, and that pacific oscillations will force cooling for the next 20-30 years. It is not outrageously biased in presentation as are other skeptics views. [3]http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/8299079.stm [4]http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/damianthompson/100013173/the-bbcs-amazing-u-turn-on-cl imate-change/ BBC has significant influence on public opinion outside the US. Do you think this merits an op-ed response in the BBC from a scientist? Narasimha ------------------------------- PhD Candidate, Emmett Interdisciplinary Program in Environment and Resources (E-IPER) Stanford University Tel: 415-812-7560 -- Michael E. Mann Professor Director, Earth System Science Center (ESSC) Department of Meteorology Phone: (814) 863-4075 503 Walker Building FAX: (814) 865-3663 The Pennsylvania State University email: [5]mann@psu.edu University Park, PA 16802-5013 website: [6]http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~mann/Mann/index.html "Dire Predictions" book site: [7]http://www.essc.psu.edu/essc_web/news/DirePredictions/index.html References Visible links 1. mailto:ndrao@stanford.edu 2. mailto:shs@stanford.edu 3. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/8299079.stm 4. http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/damianthompson/100013173/the-bbcs-amazing-u-turn-on-climate-change/ 5. mailto:mann@psu.edu 6. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~mann/Mann/index.html 7. http://www.essc.psu.edu/essc_web/news/DirePredictions/index.html Hidden links: 8. http://www.met.psu.edu/dept/faculty/mann.htm